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Total Horizon Return

Sum of all return components over the holding period.

Total horizon return combines carry, principal repaid (paydown), roll-down, price effect, and reinvestment returns to give the all-in return from holding and selling a bond at the horizon. It's expressed as a percentage of the initial investment (dirty price × notional).

Formula
Total Return=Carry+Paydown+Roll-Down+Price+Reinvest\text{Total Return} = \text{Carry} + \text{Paydown} + \text{Roll-Down} + \text{Price} + \text{Reinvest}
Assumptions
  • Horizon date is on or before bond maturity
  • Bond is sold at horizon at market price
  • Yield change is a parallel shift
  • Coupons AND repaid principal are reinvested at the specified rate until horizon — a user assumption, not a market forward
  • Prices are quoted per 100 of ORIGINAL face, so an amortiser's horizon price reads below its current-face market quote