Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT)
Markowitz's framework for constructing efficient portfolios through diversification.
Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT), developed by Harry Markowitz (1952), is the mathematical foundation for portfolio construction. Core insight: Combining assets with imperfect correlation reduces portfolio volatility below the weighted average of individual volatilities — this is diversification benefit. MPT defines the efficient frontier: the set of portfolios offering maximum return for a given risk level (or minimum risk for a given return). Rational investors should only hold efficient portfolios. Inputs: Expected returns, volatilities, and correlations for all assets. Outputs: Optimal weights (min variance portfolio, max Sharpe portfolio, etc.). Limitations: Garbage in, garbage out — small changes in expected return assumptions cause massive weight shifts. Assumes normal distributions (ignores tail risk). Despite limitations, MPT underpins modern asset allocation.
Efficient Frontier
The set of portfolios offering the highest return for each level of risk.
Sharpe Ratio
Risk-adjusted return: excess return divided by volatility.
Covariance Matrix
Captures how asset returns move together — the foundation of diversification.
Portfolio Volatility
Standard deviation of portfolio returns — total risk including diversification effects.
Minimum Variance Portfolio
The portfolio with the lowest possible volatility.
Maximum Sharpe Portfolio
The portfolio with the highest risk-adjusted return.